Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.739179 20.194550 22.872994 26.012829 29.594370 33.554492 38.268332
2024-10-27 14.131563 17.293226 21.001358 25.675775 31.418354 38.252653 47.019101
2024-11-03 11.973206 15.641515 20.235614 26.422086 34.553723 44.904039 59.122696
2024-11-10 10.379434 14.417138 19.795380 27.502884 38.302128 52.951675 74.432095
2024-11-17 8.809611 12.964812 18.830987 27.747908 41.022396 60.153875 90.006760
2024-11-24 7.235323 11.243304 17.220312 26.825906 41.970543 65.088783 103.364630
2024-12-01 5.977614 9.779907 15.752415 25.872477 42.725112 69.901748 117.523688
2024-12-08 5.116147 8.792305 14.860418 25.677335 44.661401 76.934705 136.669989
2024-12-15 4.484243 8.076820 14.295004 25.931504 47.410031 85.826571 160.789968
2024-12-22 3.911458 7.366274 13.621668 25.882577 49.629248 94.216385 185.741400
2024-12-29 3.555422 6.990063 13.485622 26.801074 53.822440 107.010194 221.713814
2025-01-05 3.164396 6.479932 13.014357 26.992371 56.646707 117.703377 255.737294
2025-01-12 2.722219 5.805486 12.137547 26.272173 57.623319 125.155004 285.247653
2025-01-19 2.387994 5.296704 11.513168 25.975317 59.470607 134.862855 322.062299
2025-01-26 2.187400 5.042660 11.388815 26.766512 63.935697 151.313462 378.465262
2025-02-02 2.032534 4.864680 11.404049 27.891731 69.439837 171.351788 448.480882
2025-02-09 1.840003 4.563867 11.085775 28.164542 72.951407 187.369629 512.236893
2025-02-16 1.605559 4.118650 10.345665 27.247143 73.273260 195.483634 557.013964
2025-02-23 1.402550 3.716405 9.642302 26.292877 73.320804 202.946538 601.998437
2025-03-02 1.262525 3.453750 9.251075 26.105972 75.457744 216.610951 668.649109
2025-03-09 1.158519 3.269765 9.036440 26.373751 78.969324 234.976924 754.434767
2025-03-16 1.054351 3.066482 8.733654 26.331377 81.574738 251.304052 838.183384
2025-03-23 0.995538 2.983476 8.756651 27.272295 87.422674 278.864161 966.393900